XRP price eyes 70% rally ahead of CFTC-regulated futures launch on Coinbase
Crypto

XRP price eyes 70% rally ahead of CFTC-regulated futures launch on Coinbase

XRP price eyes 70% rally ahead of CFTC-regulated futures launch on Coinbase

XRP (XRP) has dropped nearly 40% since hitting its multi-year high of $3.40 three months ago.

Still, its ability to hold above key technical support levels, combined with a potentially market-shifting derivatives listing, has prompted some analysts to maintain a bullish outlook for the months ahead.

XRP price eyes 70% rally ahead of CFTC-regulated futures launch on Coinbase
XRP/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Coinbase XRP futures may launch on April 21

From a fundamental perspective, XRP may receive a boost from the anticipated launch of XRP futures contracts on the Coinbase Derivatives platform, scheduled for April 21 under the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) oversight.

Coinbase, XRP, Markets, Tech Analysis, Market Analysis
Source: X

This development may inject fresh liquidity and institutional interest into the market, helping catalyze the technical breakouts projected above.

XRP price chart painting Wyckoff reaccumulation

XRP’s ongoing consolidation phase resembles a classic Wyckoff reaccumulation pattern, according to technical analyst Charting Guy.

The Wyckoff reaccumulation pattern is a mid-cycle structure that often precedes the next leg of a broader uptrend. It suggests that smart money is absorbing supply during the cooldown, setting the stage for a potential breakout.

XRP established support and began consolidating in late 2024, marking Phases A and B of the Wyckoff reaccumulation pattern. In early April 2025, the price formed a “Spring” followed by a successful “Test,” signaling seller exhaustion.

XRP price eyes 70% rally ahead of CFTC-regulated futures launch on Coinbase
XRP/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView/Charting Guy

As of April 21, XRP is attempting to break above the descending “Creek” trendline.

A breakout would confirm a “Jump Across The Creek” (JATC) and entry into Phase D. If confirmed, XRP could enter Phase E and rally 70% toward $3.55 in the coming weeks, a level aligning with the pattern’s Last Point of Support (LPS).

XRP price eyes 70% rally ahead of CFTC-regulated futures launch on Coinbase
XRP/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

A Fibonacci retracement graph drawn from $3.55-swing-high to $0.14-swing-low presents $5.65 as the upside target for June if XRP price breaks above $3.55.

Falling wedge aligns with XRP’s bullish outlook

The upside outlook aligns with XRP’s prevailing falling wedge pattern, as spotted by chartist “Jobcfx” on X.

Notably, the bullish reversal structure has been narrowing since February 2025. A breakout above the wedge’s upper trendline, currently around the $2.20-2.40 area, would signal the start of a new rally.

XRP price eyes 70% rally ahead of CFTC-regulated futures launch on Coinbase
XRP/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Falling wedge breakouts typically target a move equal to the pattern’s maximum height.

In XRP’s case, if it breaks above $2.20, the projected upside target for May lands near $4.00, aligning with the Wyckoff reaccumulation’s Phase E breakout zone.

Related: XRP price analysts project $10 next, ‘optimistic’ target of $20

Interestingly, Bitcoin (BTC) is also forming a falling wedge pattern on its chart. If confirmed, a bullish breakout in Bitcoin could act as a catalyst for the altcoin market, potentially accelerating XRP’s upward momentum as well.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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This material is for informational purposes is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of date of publication and are subject to change. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not indicative of current or future results. This information provided is neither tax nor legal advice and investors should consult with their own advisors before making investment decisions. Investment involves risk including possible loss of principal.