XRP futures open interest surges by 32% — Are traders bullish or bearish?
Crypto

XRP futures open interest surges by 32% — Are traders bullish or bearish?

XRP futures open interest surges by 32% — Are traders bullish or bearish?

Key Takeaways: 

  • XRP has gained 25% since April 7, and its open interest has risen by 32%.

  • Positive spot market activity contrasts with a neutral futures funding rate, highlighting a tug-of-war between traders.

  • Analysts still have double-digit price targets for XRP.

XRP’s (XRP) price fell to a year-to-date low of $1.61 on April 7, but has gained 25% over the past two weeks as the broader crypto market recovered and XRP open interest surged.

XRP, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
XRP futures open interest. Source: CoinGlass

The altcoin’s open interest surged 32% from $3.14 billion to $4.13 billion between April 21 and 23, signaling the return of derivatives traders. Futures OI increasing alongside the price indicates a bullish sentiment, but data from the Velo painted a different picture. 

Based on the negative aggregated premium on open interest, the XRP futures market continued to bid against an XRP price rise. The funding rate remained near 0, implying a neutral stance between the bulls and bears. 

XRP, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
XRP aggregated premium, spot tape and open interest chart. Source: Velo

The aggregated spot tape cumulative volume delta became positive in April. This indicator measures the net difference between aggressive buy and sell trades across various exchanges. When it turns green and rises above zero, it indicates increasing buying pressure, with market buy trades surpassing sell trades.

Despite rising futures interest, the data suggests XRP’s price remains caught in a tug-of-war between bullish spot market activity and bearish perpetual futures.

Related: Price predictions 4/23: BTC, ETH, XRP, BNB, SOL, DOGE, ADA, LINK, AVAX, SUI

Is XRP destined for double-digits?

Following XRP’s price pump, Sistine Research, a crypto investment community, posted a bold prediction for XRP, forecasting a long-term target between $33 and $50. The prediction is based on a higher time frame (HTF) symmetrical triangle that mirrors 2017’s 2,600% rally. The platform suggested that an optimistic target may drive prices as high as $77-$100.

XRP, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
XRP price target by Sistine Research. Source: X.com

For context, XRP is currently valued at $2.23 with a market cap of $131 billion. A $33 target increases the market cap to ~$2 trillion (1,400 %+), which is more than Bitcoin’s current market cap. 

From a lower-time frame (LTF) perspective, XRP shows an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, which could potentially test the resistance range between $2.50 and $2.67. The resistance range also coincides with the Fibonacci extension levels drawn from the neckline’s base to the head’s lowest point.

Although the relative strength index (RSI) is nearing overbought territory, suggesting a potential pause in price movement at the current range.

XRP, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
XRP 4-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Related: XRP Ledger Foundation spots ‘crypto stealing backdoor’ in code library

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This material is for informational purposes is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of date of publication and are subject to change. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not indicative of current or future results. This information provided is neither tax nor legal advice and investors should consult with their own advisors before making investment decisions. Investment involves risk including possible loss of principal.